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  • Writer's pictureThomas Desjardins

June 2023: Ottawa Real Estate Market Update

Updated: Aug 8, 2023



June 2023 Market Summary


In June, sales volume continued to outpace the numbers we saw this time last year, though total sales remained slower than they were during the period from 2018 to 2021. Average prices remained relatively stable on a month-to-month basis, while the year-over-year average continued to converge. Although the number of homes available for sale saw a slight uptick, the time it took to sell continued to decrease. Months of inventory (MOI) expanded slightly, though for the time being we remain in a seller's market.


Let's take a look at some of the core indicators, within the context of wider market trends, for last month.


Number of Home Sales (Year-Over-Year)

  • Residential unit sales: 1,659 (+11.3%)

  • Freehold unit sales: 1,475 (+10.7%)

  • Condo unit sales: 466 (+14.9%)

* Residential sales include all residential properties; freehold includes detached singles, townhouses, and semi-detached homes; and condos include apartments, row units, and stacked-style dwellings.


Sales in June slowed relative to May, which is typical at this time of year. However, sales volume remained higher when compared to this time last year.


The graph below shows monthly sales volume data grouped by month since 2018.



Average Sale Prices

  • Residential properties: $671,212 (- 2.3%)

  • Freehold properties: $746,895 (- 2.7%)

  • Condo properties: $450,766 (+2.2%)

Average prices held steady in June compared to May (-0.13%), though the gap in year-over-year average sale prices has continued to narrow.


The table below shows month-over-month price change data for the last 12 months. The following graph shows monthly average sale price data since 2018.

Month

Price

% Change

June 2022

$686,752

-4.48%

July

$649,602

-5.41%

August

$635,982

-2.10%

September

$644,905

1.40%

October

$624,692

-3.13%

November

$620,889

-0.61%

December

$605,282

-2.51%

January 2023

$611,504

1.03%

February

$632,906

3.60%

March

$635,492

0.41%

April

$679,239

6.88%

May

$672,055

-1.06%

June 2023

$671,212

-0.13%



Active Listings by Month


At the end of June, there were 3,119 homes available for sale in Ottawa, representing a 173-unit increase from the previous month.


The chart below shows the active listing data for the last 5 years.



Cumulative Days on Market


Cumulative days on market ("CDOM") refers to the total number of days a home is available for sale before it is sold firm. CDOM includes the time that a property spends conditionally sold or the time that the property is available before being canceled and re-listed.


Last month, a home took 34 days to sell, on average. This number is down from May when homes sold in 36 days.


CDOM data since 2018 can be found in the table below.



Months of Inventory


The months of inventory measure ("MOI") is calculated by taking the number of homes available for sale and assessing how long it would take for those to sell if demand remained constant and no new inventory was added to the market. This measure is a core indicator that helps assess whether we are in a buyer's, seller's, or balanced market.

  • A balanced market has 4 to 6 months of inventory.

  • A seller’s market has less than 4 months of inventory.

  • A buyer's market has more than 6 months of inventory.

In June 2023, there were 2 months of inventory available in our marketplace. While supply is less constrained than a year ago, the last five months have seen the market sway quickly back in favour of sellers. Through summer, we will likely see the MOI data point creep up as fewer buyers will be out buying homes. The market will likely ramp back up come mid-September.


This is illustrated in the chart below, which shows MOI data by month since 2014.





What This Means for You


It is critical to note that broad aggregate data is useful to establish trends, but significant variability exists at a community and housing-type level. If you are interested in getting a more refined estimate of the value of your home, or if you are interested in beginning your house hunt, we would love to help!


Give us a call at 613-614-2999 for your no-obligation consultation.


* Real estate market data is taken from the Ottawa Real Estate Board's Multiple Listing Service (MLS) and is believed to be accurate but is not warranted.



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